Abstract

A possible way to predict the future direction of the security relations between two states is to put the two states into certain systemic levels for exploration, on the ground that this exploration may disclose, in abroad sense, their relations in the politics of security. Using a mixed material. cultural approach, this article imagines five possible scenarios that may emerge in the international system of Asia-Pacific region , in which future China-U.S. security relations are understood. It argues that China and the United States will possess in those scenarios different social identities, which may , in turn ,determine how they see the meaning of each other's changing material capabilities, so as to make their security relations tainted with different characteristics.

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